Table 2

Predictive capacity (mortality 1 year from date of admission) of individual prognostic criteria and potential combinations of scores

Prognostic criteria/triggern (%)Positive predictive value (%)Sensitivity (%)Specificity (%)
Child-Pugh C36 (49.3)77.877.878.4
Unsuitable for transplant62 (84.9)54.894.424.3
WHO Performance status 3 or 414 (19.2)78.631.491.9
Continuing alcohol usage (in ArLD)44 (60.3)56.871.448.7
>2 admissions within last 6 months7 (9.6)57.111.191.9
Cumulative prognostic score ≥257 (78.1)57.991.735.1
Cumulative prognostic score ≥332 (43.8)81.372.283.8
Cumulative prognostic score ≥47 (9.6)85.716.797.3
Child-Pugh C+continuing alcohol24 (32.9)87.558.391.9
Child-Pugh C+any other prognostic criteria34 (46.6)82.477.883.8
  • ArLD, alcohol-related liver disease.